Molecular and Clinical Epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Individuals in a Large Healthcare Organization from New Jersey (preprint)

New Jersey was among the first states impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with one of the highest overall death rates in the nation. Nevertheless, relatively few reports have been published focusing specifically on New Jersey. Here we report on molecular, clinical, and epidemiologic observations from the largest healthcare network in the state, in a cohort of vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. We conducted molecular surveillance of SARS-CoV-2-positive nasopharyngeal swabs collected in nine hospitals from December 2020 through June 2022, using both whole genome sequencing (WGS) and a real-time RT-PCR screening assay targeting spike protein mutations found in variants of concern (VOC) within our region. De-identified clinical data were obtained retrospectively, including demographics, COVID-19 vaccination status, ICU admission, ventilator support, mortality, and medical history. Statistical analyses were performed to identify associations between SARS-CoV-2 variants, vaccination status, clinical outcomes, and medical risk factors. A total of 5,007 SARS-CoV-2-positive nasopharyngeal swabs were successfully screened and/or sequenced. Variant screening identified three predominant VOC, including Alpha (n =714), Delta (n =1,877), and Omicron (n =1,802). Omicron isolates were further sub-typed as BA.1 (n =899), BA.2 (n =853), and BA.4/BA.5 (n =50); the remaining 614 isolates were classified as “Other”. Approximately 31.5% (1,577/5,007) of the samples were associated with vaccine breakthrough infections, which increased in frequency following the emergence of Delta and Omicron. Severe clinical outcomes included ICU admission (336/5007 = 6.7%), ventilator support (236/5007 = 4.7%), and mortality (430/5007 = 8.6%), with increasing age being the most significant contributor to each (p <0.001). Unvaccinated individuals accounted for 79.7% (268/336) of ICU admissions, 78.3% (185/236) of ventilator cases, and 74.4% (320/430) of deaths. Highly significant (p <0.001) increases in mortality were observed in individuals with cardiovascular disease, hypertension, cancer, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia, but not with obesity, thyroid disease, or respiratory disease. Significant differences (p <0.001) in clinical outcomes were also noted between SARS-CoV-2 variants, including Delta, Omicron BA.1, and Omicron BA.2. Vaccination was associated with significantly improved clinical outcomes in our study, despite an increase in breakthrough infections associated with waning immunity, greater antigenic variability, or both. Underlying comorbidities contributed significantly to mortality in both vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, with increasing risk based on the total number of comorbidities. Real-time RT-PCR-based screening facilitated timely identification of predominant variants using a minimal number of spike protein mutations, with faster turnaround time and reduced cost compared to WGS. Continued evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants will likely require ongoing surveillance for new VOCs, with real-time assessment of clinical impact.

Nirmatrelvir, an orally active Mpro inhibitor, is a potent inhibitor of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern (preprint)

New variants of SARS-CoV-2 with potential for enhanced transmission, replication, and immune evasion capabilities continue to emerge causing reduced vaccine efficacy and/or treatment failure. As of January 2021, the WHO has defined five variants of concern (VOC): B.1.1.7 (Alpha, ), B.1.351 (Beta, {beta}), P.1 (Gamma, {gamma}), B.1.617.2 (Delta, {delta}), and B.1.1.529 (Omicron, o). To provide a therapeutic option for the treatment of COVID-19 and variants, Nirmatrelvir, the antiviral component of PAXLOVIDTM, an oral outpatient treatment recently authorized for conditional or emergency use treatment of COVID-19, was developed to inhibit SARS-CoV-2 replication. Nirmatrelvir (PF-07321332) is a specific inhibitor of coronavirus main protease (Mpro, also referred to as 3CLpro), with potent antiviral activity against several human coronaviruses, including SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and MERS (Owen et al, Science 2021. doi: 10.1126/science.abl4784). Here, we evaluated PF-07321332 against the five SARS-CoV-2 VOC (, {beta}, {gamma}, {delta}, o) and two Variants of Interest or VOI, C.37 ({lambda}) and B.1.621 (), using qRT-PCR in VeroE6 cells lacking the P-glycoprotein (Pgp) multidrug transporter gene (VeroE6 P-gp knockout cells). Nirmatrelvir potently inhibited USA-WA1/2020 strain, and , {beta}, {gamma}, {lambda}, {delta}, , and o variants in VeroE6 P-gp knockout cells with mean EC50 values 38.0 nM, 41.0 nM, 127.2 nM, 24.9 nM, 21.2 nM, 15.9 nM, 25.7 nM and 16.2 nM, respectively. Sequence analysis of the Mpro encoded by the variants showed ~100% identity of active site amino acid sequences, reflecting the essential role of Mpro during viral replication leading to ability of Nirmatrelvir to exhibit potent activity across all the variants.